Updated through the Elite Eight. This is an analysis of the quizbowl club's group in the ESPN Men's Tournament Challenge. There are 2^3 = 8 possible ways the Final Four can turn out. Four people can still win. There will be no ties (for first, anyway). Jonathan Needle is is the best shape to win -- he's the only person left who can win by Saturday night (if Duke and Michigan State win). He also wins if Michigan State wins it all. Richard Grimes and Nick Scott need a specific team to win the title in order to win -- Maryland for Richard, Arizona for Nick. Subash Maddipoti, our current leader, needs Duke to specifically beat Arizona in order to win. Here are the current standings, along with the maximum number of points one's bracket can still get. Standings: Points Max 1. Subash Maddipoti 960 1360 2. Ed Markman 950 1350 Aaron Lichtig 950 1350 4. Jonathan Needle 940 1340 5. Frank Amtmann 930 1330 Nick Scott 930 1330 7. Charlie Steinhice 920 1200 8. Richard Grimes 910 1310 Chris Chrzanowski 910 1310 10. Rocky Barker 870 1270 Brian Saxton 870 1270 12. Mark Tong 860 1140 Eric Owens 860 1140 Adam Fine 860 1140 15. Augustine Kim 850 1250 16. Craig Barker 840 960 17. Charles Steinhardt 830 1230 18. Kevin Costello 820 940 19. Brian Hight 810 1210 Jason Remy 810 810 Arthur Fleming 810 1210 Emil Thomas Chuck 810 1090 David Balseiro 810 1210 Michelle Cantave 810 930 25. James Quintong 770 1170 Bob Tribbett 770 1170 27. David Thorsley 760 880 Joseph Burger 760 760 29. Josh Allen 750 1150 30. Anthony de Jesus 740 740 31. Eric Muraszewski 730 1130 32. David Bykowski 720 1120 33. Michael Philpy 690 810 34. Mark Coen 660 660 Erik Nielsen 660 660 36. Nicholas Rothfuss 650 930 37. Michael Davies 640 920 Noel Erinjeri 640 640 39. Hing Chan 630 910 40. Keith Hudson 620 740 41. James Dinan 610 890 42. Jon Couture 580 580 43. Jeff Ford 560 960 44. Andy Penner 510 510 Kevin Crawford 510 790 Andy Wehrman 510 790 47. Guy Jordan 480 480 Arctic Fox 480 480 49. Mike Wehrman 420 420 Still alive: Arizona Duke Maryland Michigan St Predictions: -------- Final 1 ---------- 19x 1 Duke 11x 2 Arizona 7x 1 -Stanford 3x 1 -Illinois 2x 2 -N Carolina 3 -Boston Coll. 1x 1 Michigan St 2 -Kentucky 3 -Florida 3 Maryland 5 -Virginia -------- Final 2 ---------- 23x 2 Arizona 20x 1 Duke 13x 1 -Stanford 9x 1 Michigan St 7x 2 -N Carolina 3 Maryland 6x 1 -Illinois 3x 2 -Kentucky 3 -Florida 2x 2 -Iowa State 3 -Boston Coll. 1x 5 -Virginia 7 -Arkansas 7 -Iowa -------- Final 4 ---------- 36x 1 *Duke 30x 2 *Arizona 27x 1 -Stanford 24x 1 *Michigan St 14x 3 *Maryland 13x 2 -N Carolina 11x 1 -Illinois 10x 3 -Florida 9x 2 -Kentucky 4x 5 -Syracuse 3x 2 -Iowa State 3 -Boston Coll. 2x 5 -Virginia 1x 3 -Ole Miss 4 -Indiana 4 -Kansas 5 -Cincinnati 6 -Wisconsin 7 -Arkansas 7 -Iowa 7 -Wake Forest 8 -Georgia Tech 9 -Charlotte -------- Final 8 ---------- 45x 1 *Duke 41x 1 *Stanford 40x 1 *Michigan St 2 *Arizona 34x 3 *Maryland 32x 1 *Illinois 28x 2 -Kentucky 26x 2 -N Carolina 23x 3 -Florida 15x 3 -Boston Coll. 11x 2 -Iowa State 8x 4 -Kansas 7x 5 -Syracuse 4x 4 -Indiana 5 -Virginia 3x 3 -Ole Miss 4 -Oklahoma 6 -Notre Dame 2x 6 -Wisconsin 7 -Arkansas 7 -Iowa 8 -Georgia Tech 9 -Missouri 11 -Oklahoma St 11 -Xavier 1x 5 -Cincinnati 5 -Ohio State 6 *USC 7 -Wake Forest 8 -Georgia 8 -Tennessee 9 -Charlotte 9 -Fresno St 9 -St Joseph's 10 -Creighton 12 -Gonzaga -------- Final 16 ---------- 47x 1 *Michigan St 45x 1 *Duke 2 *Arizona 2 -N Carolina 44x 2 *Kentucky 43x 1 *Stanford 42x 1 *Illinois 41x 3 -Florida 3 *Maryland 36x 3 -Boston Coll. 35x 2 -Iowa State 32x 4 -Indiana 4 *UCLA 26x 5 -Syracuse 24x 3 *Ole Miss 21x 4 *Kansas 19x 4 -Oklahoma 6 -Notre Dame 18x 5 -Virginia 14x 5 *Cincinnati 5 -Ohio State 12x 12 *Gonzaga 7x 6 *USC 7 -Arkansas 10 *Georgetown 11 *Temple 6x 6 -Wisconsin 8 -Tennessee 11 -Oklahoma St 5x 11 -Xavier 4x 10 -Providence 3x 7 -Iowa 8 -Georgia Tech 9 -St Joseph's 2x 7 -Wake Forest 8 -Georgia 9 -Fresno St 9 -Missouri 10 -Butler 10 -Creighton 11 -Georgia St. 12 -BYU 12 -Hawaii 12 -Utah State 1x 6 -Texas 9 -Charlotte 13 -Hofstra 13 -Kent State 14 -Iona -------- Final 32 ---------- 49x 1 *Duke 1 *Illinois 1 *Michigan St 1 *Stanford 2 -Iowa State 2 *Kentucky 2 *N Carolina 3 *Boston Coll. 48x 3 *Florida 3 *Maryland 47x 2 *Arizona 46x 3 *Ole Miss 45x 4 *Kansas 44x 4 -Oklahoma 43x 4 -Indiana 42x 5 *Syracuse 40x 4 *UCLA 5 -Ohio State 35x 5 *Cincinnati 34x 9 *Fresno St 33x 9 *St Joseph's 32x 9 *Missouri 30x 10 -Providence 29x 11 -Oklahoma St 28x 10 *Georgetown 27x 6 *Notre Dame 10 -Creighton 26x 6 -Texas 8 -Tennessee 10 *Butler 25x 11 *Georgia St. 12 *Gonzaga 24x 5 -Virginia 6 -Wisconsin 23x 7 -Wake Forest 9 *Charlotte 11 *Temple 22x 7 *Iowa 11 -Xavier 21x 7 -Arkansas 20x 6 *USC 19x 7 *Penn State 17x 8 -Georgia 16x 8 -Georgia Tech 15x 8 -California 14x 12 -BYU 9x 12 *Utah State 13 -Hofstra 7x 12 -Hawaii 6x 13 *Kent State 5x 13 *Indiana St 4x 13 -CS Northridge 3x 14 -Iona 2x 15 -East. Illinois 1x 14 -Grge Mason 14 -West. Kntcky